The latest figures from Quantus Insights (CROSSTABS HERE) do not reveal a country healing or uniting. They reveal a battlefield. One half of America backs President Donald J. Trump. The other half is against him. The data shows a dead-even split: 48.2% approve, 48.3% disapprove. Statistically tied, but symbolically telling—this is not a president among presidents. This is a wartime president for a nation at cultural war with itself.
The Polarization is Total
Among Republicans, Trump’s grip is absolute—92% approve, with only 5% dissenting. Among Democrats, approval barely scratches double digits. This isn’t just a political divide—it’s a national fracture. Independents, supposedly the rational center, remain skeptical: only 41% approve, while 53% disapprove. These are the voters Trump and the Republican Party must win—or overwhelm—by 2026.Women, college-educated voters, and minorities—particularly Black Americans (67% disapprove)—show strong discontent. But Trump continues to dominate among non-college whites, the working class backbone of Middle America. Among white voters overall, he leads with 53% approval. Right Track or National Decline?
Asked whether America is on the right track, 50.3% say the nation is off course. Only 44.4% say we’re headed in the right direction. That’s not just a poll result—it’s a warning flare. Among Republicans, a staggering 84% believe the country is back on track. Among Democrats, 88% say it’s not. This reflects not merely political disagreement, but two nations coexisting under one flag, each believing the other is driving off a cliff.Second Term: Success or Failure?
The public is again split. 46.8% call Trump’s second term a success. 48.2% call it a failure. The fact that nearly half still call it a success—after relentless lawfare and media assault—underscores the resilience of Trump’s base and their contempt for Washington.Key Issues: Tariffs, Borders, and Inflation
The defining issue of this term? Trade. 51% say tariffs and trade policy are Trump’s signature focus. But opinion is against him—51% rate his handling on the issue as negative. Immigration ranks second, and here Trump gets his highest positive score (53%), proof that border security still resonates deeply.
Inflation remains a thorn—only 42% approve of his handling. But for many, this is a shared burden tied to decades of mismanagement and for now, at least, many Americans are giving him time.
The 2026 Midterms: Another Knife’s Edge
Voter intent for 2026 shows Republicans at 44.8%, Democrats at 45.2%. Again—a draw. But beneath the surface, the dynamics are clear: Republicans lead heavily among men, whites, and non-college voters. Democrats lead with women, minorities, and college grads. Independents are split. The future rests on turnout, persuasion, or political earthquake.Conclusion: America, Still at War With Itself
This poll doesn’t show consensus—it shows cold civil war by other means. The numbers scream deadlock. But they also show staying power.
In short: Trump is holding his line. And America, once again, is choosing sides.